TLDR Tech / AI
Why I don't think AGI is imminent
Both CEOs of OpenAI and Anthropic claim that human-level AI is just around the corner. However, Transformers have their fundamental limitations. While they are very powerful and have taught us a lot about what general intelligence is, overcoming these problems will require research that could take decades. The advances that made modern GPTs possible were discovered gradually over several decades, and each discovery came with new and more nuanced issues.
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